Perceptions on the Accuracy of the 2022 Midterms

Only 34.8% of Republicans agree that the 2022 midterms produced accurate results, while 81.7% of Democrats agree that the 2022 midterms produced accurate results. 

Members of both parties have wrong perceptions of how accurate the other side saw 2022 midterm election results. Democrats overestimated the percentage of Republicans who thought the outcome was accurate by 10.8% and Republicans underestimated the percentage of Democrats who thought the outcome was accurate by 15.1%.


You can always view the results of the America’s Political Pulse tracking poll to see major findings, explore over-time trends, or download top-line results.

Inside the Republican Party: Results on MAGA Supporters vs. non-MAGA Republicans

MAGA Republicans are substantially more likely that non-MAGA Republicans to support democratic norms violations across the board.

When it comes to support for political violence, we see that MAGA Republicans are more willing than non-MAGA Republicans to support lower levels of violence, but that support erodes as we get to extreme forms of political violence.

Support for Political Violence by

MAGA Identification (among Republicans)

MAGA supporters are more likely than non-MAGA Republicans to say that voting is “very important.” Support for voting among all Republicans remains high.


You can always view the results of the America’s Political Pulse tracking poll to see major findings, explore over-time trends, or download top-line results.

New Lab Results on those who Identify as Born Again

The PRL is now including “born again” identity status in our topline results. Insights across measures show interesting takeaways about those who identify as born again. 

Affective polarization: Those who identify as born again are comparable to those who do not identify as born again. Those who are born again are also more trusting in other Americans and in institutional responses from the government.

Political violence: Those who are born again are significantly more likely to support political violence, but the magnitude of the difference is small.

Democratic norms: Those who are born again are much more likely to support norms violations than those who are not.

Relative to those who are not born again:

  • Support for reducing polling places is 5.5 point higher among the born again
  • Support for censoring media is more than 11 points higher among the born again
  • Support for being more loyal to the party than the constitution is 8.3 points higher among the born again

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You can always view the results of the America’s Political Pulse tracking poll to see major findings, explore over-time trends, or download top-line results.

Lab Results Reveal Interesting Insights on Democratic Norms

Ahead of the mid-term elections, new results from the Lab highlight three surprising results on support for democratic norm violations. The democratic norms we measure are:

  • In-party elected officials should ignore out-party judges;
  • In-party should reduce polling places in out-party areas;
  • In-party president should use Executive Orders to circumvent out-party control of Congress;
  • Government should censor media that attack the out-party more than the in-party;
  • When elections are challenged, the in-party should be more loyal to the party than the constitution.

1. Democrats support anti-democratic behavior at levels that are similar to (or exceed) Republicans. Surprisingly, about 8% of Democrats want to reduce voting options for Republicans.

2. Americans who support a norm violation are not looking to subvert democracy wholesale, with most only supporting one or two violations and not a complete rejection of democratic principles.

3. Both Democrats and Republicans dramatically overestimate the extent to which the other side support democratic norms violations. People think things are much worse than they are.

You can always view the results of the America’s Political Pulse tracking poll to see major findings, explore over-time trends, or download top-line results.

Low Support for Political Violence

Weekly survey results from the Lab through October 2022 reveal that both parties reject political violence. 9,000 interviews over five weeks show that support for political violence is consistently less than the margin of error and decreases as crime severity increases.

Contrary to current narratives, when it comes to violent crime, both parties equally reject violence.

You can always view the results of the America’s Political Pulse tracking poll to see major findings, explore over-time trends, or download top-line results.

Affective Polarization Consistent over Time and Party

Research from the Lab in the run-up to the 2022 mid-term elections shows that affective polarization remains surprisingly stable over time.

Affective polarization is also remarkably similar for both parties.

Watch this space for comparisons to post-election attitudes!

You can always view the results of the America’s Political Pulse tracking poll to see major findings, explore over-time trends, or download top-line results.