Report: Americans reject political violence, but see it as an imminent threat

PRL has collected data on Americans’ support for political violence since 2022. We also fielded a survey on attitudes toward partisan violence in the week following the assassination of Charlie Kirk. Executive SummaryPublic support for political violence in the United States is virtually nonexistent, with less than 1% of Americans endorsing acts like partisan murder. Despite this consensus, an overwhelming majority of citizens across the political spectrum perceives political violence as a major national threat, leading many to curtail their own political expression out of fear. This pervasive fear has created a dangerous appetite for authoritarian solutions, with a substantial…

Report: One in Ten Americans Support or Are Indifferent to the Murder of Jews

For six weeks our national polarization tracking survey included an item measuring public support for an explicitly antisemitic murder—an act motivated by a victim’s Jewish identity. Our data include 6,000 interviews from YouGov (May-July 2025). Direct support for antisemitic murder is low but meaningful at 2.8%–a level comparable to what we measure for political violence. However, the key finding is the alarmingly high level of public indifference. Our study shows that 8.3% of Americans are indifferent to an explicitly antisemitic murder. This figure is four times larger than the indifference we observe toward other types of political murder. Together, 11.1%…

Blog: PRL’s Democracy Fellows program brings 10 Dartmouth students to DC to bridge the partisan divide

In the inaugural year, PRL Lab Director Sean Westwood traveled with 10 Dartmouth undergraduates to Washington, D.C., for a three-day immersive experience exploring the work required to sustain a healthy democracy. The visits provided students with insight into the day-to-day work of supporting American values, democratic norms, and strong institutions. Students engaged with leaders across partisanship and sectors, including former government, foundations, think tanks, and media.  Read Dartmouth’s coverage of the pilot program. PRL hopes to offer the program to students annually in the coming years.

Report: Divergence in support for ignoring out-party court decisions

How do Americans perceive the role of the courts? The independence of court decisions from executive and legislative politics plays an important role in maintaining the balance of power in the U.S. government. In the past few weeks the courts have been increasingly called on to adjudicate the legality of executive orders such as those concerning birthright citizenship, government funding for research, and deportation of immigrants, underlining the importance of bipartisan respect for these decisions. Data from PRL’s weekly pulse survey shows that since early 2025 there has been a divergence in support for respecting decisions made by out-party judges,…

News: Model Slant dashboard shows how American partisans view LLMs

AI models are increasingly part of our daily lives, but we know little about their potential biases. The Model Slant project analyzes the political slant of large language models. The goal is to provide transparency about how different AI models may exhibit partisan leanings in their responses to political questions. The project will help increase transparency of AI models and alert users about potential partisan biases in the models they engage with.  The dashboard shows the results of the experimental research. We showed Americans anonymized results from a variety of Large Language Models. We then asked them to assess the…

Report: Global attitudes on the US election and cross-national relationships

Perspectives from Brazil, Germany, Poland, Israel, and India PRL conducts quarterly surveys on democratic attitudes in five countries in addition to the US: Brazil, Germany, Poland, Israel, and India. This report includes data from the October 2024 and January 2025 waves of the survey.  Global respondents did not expect Trump to win, and they were not optimistic about their country’s relationship with the US if he was elected. In all of the countries less than 50% of respondents predicted that Donald Trump would win. The highest prediction was 45% in Germany, closely followed by 43% in Poland, and the lowest…

Commentary: Republicans are now optimistic about democracy while Democrats are resigned

How are Americans feeling about the future of democracy now that President Trump has taken office?  In September 2022, August 2024, and following Trump’s inauguration in 2025, PRL asked Americans if they think America is heading toward the end of democracy. The percentage of Americans who agreed with this statement dropped substantially between 2022 and 2025. When we first asked this question, 58% of Americans agreed, but by 2024, only 44% did. Overall, Americans are feeling slightly more optimistic in 2025, with 41% agreeing. Did the election outcome impact how partisans view the future of democracy? In both 2022 and…

Report: Path to 2024 — Did the 2024 election shift Americans’ attitudes about democracy?

In this final report for our Path to 2024 series, we examine how the election did or did not shift partisan attitudes.  The build-up to the 2024 presidential election was marked by a significant sense of concern and dread. As election day came to pass, however, and Donald Trump assumed the title of president-elect, the most acute concerns around post-election instability did not materialize.  Partisan AnimosityWe find no difference in pre- and post-election levels of affective polarization. However, we do observe some difference in party-level differences. Democrats felt about 5% colder toward co-partisans after the election, whereas Republicans felt about 5% warmer…

Report: Path to 2024 — Election Expectations

What do Americans expect to happen in the 2024 election and its aftermath? This report examines who Americans expect will win the 2024 presidential election and if/when the losing candidate will/should concede.  Most Americans perceive a tight race, but one where their party’s candidate will win.  Partisans are split on their confidence in the candidates conceding the election. Americans believe the losing candidate should concede, but don’t agree on when About the Path to 2024 Report Series PRL’s Path to 2024 report series is a new monthly chronicle covering partisan attitudes of Americans in the lead-up to the November 2024 presidential election. Each…

Research article: Affective polarization is uniformly distributed across American states

In a new paper out in PNAS Nexus, PRL researchers show that affective polarization is better explained by individual-level attitudinal measures than by geographic differences across states, such as political institutions, demographics, or economic conditions. Abstract: US partisans view each other with increasing negativity. While many attribute the growth of such affective polarization to nationally cross-cutting forces, such as ideological partisan sorting or access to partisan media, others emphasize the effects of contextual and institutional forces. For the first time, we introduce and explore data sufficiently granular to fully map the extent of partisan animosity across the US states. With…